NBA Draft 2013 1st Round Analysis

1

June 30, 2013 by Ell and Mike Sports

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Teams

Player

1. 

Cavs

The draft starts with a surprise when the Cavs select PF/SF Anthony Bennett out of UNLV with the 1st pick. He is one of the few players in this draft with a NBA made body and should be a good addition to an upcoming young team. Bennett is a big guy with good shooting range and toughness who the Cavs will try at SF, but if he is a PF he could be a valuable asset or push PF Tristan Thompson.

2. 

Magic

The Magic go with SG Victor Oladipo out of Indiana with the 2nd pick in the draft. He will provide instant defense and hustle off the bench and could be the long term replacement for SG Aaron Affalo. Oladipo will be given a chance to grow and develop his offense in this situation which is best for him; he should turn out to be a good prospect.
3. 

Wizards

The Wizards go with the local product out of Georgetown SF Otto Porter. He has good size and for the position, but must continue to add bulk to compete with the best players in the league. Porter is a good two-way player and willing rebounder who should make a good trio with PG John Wall and SG Bradley Beal. He has the potential to be something special and grow with those two players.
4.     

Bobcats

The Bobcats provide the next surprise as usual selecting C Cody Zeller out of Indiana over C Alex Len, but MJ has been known to make odd selections. This is another Boom or Bust pick for the Bobcats, there was a huge buzz around Zeller earlier in the year, but like most prospects he is not a guarantee. He has a good offensive post game and nice cuts to the basket, but he needs work on defense and needs to add bulk his frame. I think Zeller needs a defensive big man next to him and would be best at PF, but we will see how this pick works out.
5.     

Suns

The Suns decide to go with C Alex Len out of Maryland. Len has the most potential of any big man in this draft and he is in the best situation he can be in learning and playing behind C Marcin Gortat. Len is a good two-way center who should make the Suns better for the long term and solidify center position; which is hard to fill because it’s hard to find athletic seven-footers with skills on both ends of the floor.
6.     

Pelicans

The Pelican select PF/C Nerlens Noel out of Kentucky who was later traded to the 76ers. It was a surprise to see Noel go this late, but it was always possible because of his lack of bulk, lack of an offensive game, and his injury recovery. Noel should be a good defensive big man in the league and has the ability to take over on that end of the floor, but his offensive game must continue to grow beyond dunking.
7.     

Kings

The Kings select SG Ben McLemore out of Kansas, my #1 overall prospect in the draft. I don’t know how he fell this far in the draft with his great shooting ability and potential to grow into more. McLemore is a sharp shooter especially from the 3-point line, but must learn to create his own shot without screens. He must also continue to develop his drive game and defensively to guard the good scorers in the West. I believe he has a very high ceiling and the ability to be one of the great shooters.
8.     

Pistons

The Pistons draft SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope out of Georgia. Caldwell-Pope is a good scorer with the ability to shoot it from outside or creating his own shot. He must continue to work on his defense and toughness, as well as, adding bulk to defend the scorers in the league. He should be the long term replacement for SG Rodney Stuckey and continue to grow with the young nucleus of Knight, Singler, Monroe, and Drummond.
9.     

T-Wolves

The T-Wolves select PG Trey Burke out of Michigan, but he was later traded to the Jazz. Burke was the best PG prospect in the draft and has a great motor with the leadership skills to match. He has good speed and the ability to take over games, but must work on his defense and add bulk to take on the talented guards in the West. Burke must also continue to grow as a passer and that will be the key to his success. He is the long term solution to the Jazz’s point guard problems and should hold the job for a long time to come.
10. 

Blazers

The Blazers draft SG/PG CJ McCollum out of Lehigh. This picked shocked me because I’m not sure if he would be a starter at the shooting guard position in the league, but the Blazers must believe in his ability to play off PG Damian Lillard. McCollum can create his own shot and score in high volumes, while also showing the ability to pass and defend passing lanes. However, he must continue to add bulk especially if he expects to see time at the shooting guard position. He should definitely be a good contributor off their bench, as this was a definite area of need for the Blazers.
11. 

76ers

The 76ers select PG Michael Carter-Williams out of Syracuse. This pick allowed the 76ers to trade PG Jrue Holiday and start rebuilding mode. Carter-Williams is the new long term point guard for the 76ers and has shown great passing ability and the ability to drive to the basket. He is a crafty defender, but must continue to work at defending the smaller, faster guards in the league. He must also continue to work on his jumper, mostly outside shooting, to open up passing lanes. Carter-Williams has the ability to be something special in the league and has a very high ceiling.
12. 

Thunder

The Thunder draft C Steven Adams out of Pitt. He is a raw, defensive prospect with great size and a huge wingspan, but has a long way to go towards being a solid two-way contributor. I feel like the Thunder could have gotten an immediate contributor with this pick, but they choose to go with the long term replacement for C Kendrick Perkins. Adams had too much potential to pass up and should grow with Westbrook Durant and Ibaka.
13.

Mavs

The Mavs select C Kelly Olynyk out of Gonzaga, but this pick was later traded to the Celtics. Olynyk is a talented offensive big man with good shooting range and post moves. He needs to continue to add bulk and contribute more on the defensive end. In the league, he needs to play with more toughness and physicality in the paint. Olynyk could be the crafty post score to replace PF/C Kevin Garnett in the lineup and give PG Rajon Rondo somebody to feed in the paint.
14. 

Jazz

The Jazz select SF/SG Shabazz Muhammad out of UCLA, but this pick was traded to the T-Wolves. Muhammad one of the best prospects in this draft, but questions surrounding his age caused him to drop in the draft which should motivate him. He has an NBA body and the ability to drive to the paint and score in high volume; however he must develop a consistent jumper especially from the 3-point line. Muhammad also needs to work hard at the defensive end in order to stop the all the talented small forwards in the West. Playing with PG Ricky Rubio should put Muhammad in the best positions to score to ease his transition and he should be a solid contributor in his rookie year.  
15. 

Bucks

The Bucks select SF Giannis Adetokunbo out of Greece. He is a raw prospect, but at only 18 he has a lot of upside and room to grow into something special. He is very athletic with good ball handling and passing skills; basically, a point-forward. However, Adetokunbo is not ready for the league yet and must continue to work on his perimeter shooting. His defense needs the most work if he plans to compete in this league with all the talented forwards. His adjustment to the speed of the game will be the key.
16. 

Celtics

The Celtics select C/PF Lucas Nogueira out of Brazil, but this pick was traded to the Hawks. Nogueira has the potential to be a solid defensive stopper in the league, but is still a raw prospect who must continue to add bulk. He runs the floor well for a seven-footer and has a huge wingspan. With the Hawks in rebuilding mode, he has plenty of time to grow and must continue to get better on both ends of the floor mostly offensively.
17. 

Hawks

The Hawks select PG Dennis Schroeder out of Germany. He is a raw prospect at point guard, but he has good speed, passing ability, and instincts. Schroeder must continue to add bulk to his frame without losing speed, if he wants to be a starter, but he definitely has the ability to contribute off the bench. He has developed a good 3-point shot, but still must develop consistency on both ends. Schroeder has the potential to be a special energetic point guard in this league.
18. 

Hawks

The Hawks select PG Shane Larkin out of Miami with their 2nd pick; however this pick was traded to the Mavs. Larkin should be the perfect selection for a team in dire need of a point guard. Larkin needs to continue to add bulk, but he has great scoring and leadership abilities. Larkin is a good rebounder and solid defender, but he must continue to develop his game as a passer; this will be the key to Larkin being a starter or a scoring point guard off the bench. His ceiling is very high and he has the potential to continue to grow out of his father’s shadow.
19. 

Cavs

The Cavs select SF Sergey Karasev out of Russia. Karasev is believed to be one of the best pure shooters in the draft, however he is still raw and must adjust to the speed of the game and consistently creating his own shots. He is still young and considered one of the best European prospects and should be ready to contribute off the bench next season if he chooses to come to the league. He must continue to get stronger and work on his defense which may limit him.
20. 

Bulls

The Bulls draft SG Tony Snell out of New Mexico. I believe he is a good fit for this team and he will give them the 3-point shooter to space the floor they have been lacking. However, he must continue to add bulk to his frame, develop his ball handling skills, and improve his drive game if he hopes to be a threat in the paint. Snell is a willing defender which will impress Coach Thibodeau and allow him to stick to a playoff caliber team.
21. 

Jazz

The Jazz draft C Gorgui Dieng out of Louisville, but this pick was traded to T-wolves. Dieng has come a long way making the transition from a young, raw African prospect to a more polished defensive player under Coach Rick Pitino at Louisville. This shows that Dieng is coachable  with good work ethic. He runs the floor well and he is also a good rebounder, however he must continue to add strength to bang in the paint. Dieng must continue to grow on the offensive end to not be considered a one dimensional player, but he could be a defensive starting center in the league one day.
22. 

Nets

The Nets select PF/C Mason Plumlee out of Duke. Plumlee should be a good contributor off the bench replacing recently traded PF Kris Humphries. He has the ability to score in the post with good finesse moves and should see quality minutes behind PF Kevin Garnett. Plumlee must continue to work hard on defensively and develop consistency in his game. With other quality big men already in place, Plumlee should be able to excel in this situation.
23.

Pacers

The Pacers select SF Solomon Hill out of Arizona. Hill is a developing prospect with good size for the small forward spot, but lacks the speed. He is athletic and can score inside and outside, but he has good handles to create his own shot or even make the smart pass. He is also a good rebounder for his size and he is willing to make tough plays in the paint like a power forward. However, he must continue to develop his perimeter defense and continue to work on his jump shot to keep defenders from clogging the paint when he has the ball; this also would prevent his quick inside passes. Hill has the ability to contribute off the bench immediately and potentially gain a starting spot as a good two-way player.
24. 

Knicks

The Knicks select SG Tim Hardaway Jr. out of Michigan, son of former NBA PG Tim Hardaway. The NY native should feel very comfortable at the Garden and has the pedigree to be a good NBA player under the guidance of his dad. Hardaway Jr. is a clutch player with a good jumper especially from the 3-point line doing a great job playing off of PG Trey Burke. He is also a willing passer which will come in handy on a Knicks team in need of ball movement as they lack a pure point guard. Hardaway Jr. should be a good replacement if Knicks lose SG J.R. Smith via free agency, however, he must continue to work on his defense and consistency.
25. 

Clippers

The Clippers select SG/SF Reggie Bullock out of UNC. Bullock is a smart, developing wing man with a good 3-point shot to space the floor and a willing rebounder. He is a good perimeter defender, but must continue to add bulk if he expects to defend the small forwards in the West. He must also continue to work on his ball handling and half court offense. However, he should be a solid contributor off the bench and could be the possible long term replacement for SF Caron Butler or at the shooting guard position depending how he develops.
26. 

T-Wolves

The T-Wolves select PF Andre Roberson out of Colorado, but this pick was traded to the Thunder. Roberson is a lanky prospect with good wingspan, but lacks the bulk to be a PF in the league. He will be best as a small forward, but must work on his perimeter offense, shot selection, and ball handling skills. He has good post moves, a high motor, and good quickness. Roberson is a great rebounder despite his lack of bulk and should make his mark on the defensive end. If he can develop his perimeter offensive game, Roberson could develop into a special player who could potentially be a two-way (offensive/defensive) starter.
27.

Nuggets

The Nuggets draft C Rudy Gobert from France, but this pick was traded to Jazz. Gobert is still a raw prospect, like most young international prospects, but he has good size and a huge wingspan to become a dominate shot blocker and defensive specialist. However, he must continue to add bulk to his frame and develop his offensive game beyond dunking, easy alley-oops, and clean up around the basket. He may spend a couple more seasons overseas before coming over which would help speed up his learning curve.
28. 

Spurs

The Spurs draft SF Livio Jean-Charles from French Guiana. This is a usual Spurs kind of pick, a good international prospect with good size for the small forward spot and a high basketball awareness. Jean-Charles has good speed, a good motor, athleticism, and a solid mid-range jumper; basically a good hustle player. He has solid defense and a willingness to lock in on his player, but he must continue to develop on offense. He needs to work on his ball handling skills and perimeter offense if he expects to be more than a role player off the bench. Although his ceiling is not that high, Coach Popovich will find a role for him and he will still continue to develop overseas.
29.

Thunder

The Thunder select SG/PG Archie Goodwin out of Kentucky, but this pick was traded to Suns. Goodwin should be a good a bench player in the league for now showing good offensive skills and a willingness to pass. However, he needs to work on the consistency of his game, especially his streaky shooting, and must continue to add bulk and grow defensively. Coach Calipari was hard on Goodwin at Kentucky, but it made him mature quicker and grow into a better player than he was before the season started. Goodwin has a learning curve to continue on after only one season of college ball, but the skills are there and he could develop into a solid starter at the shooting guard position playing off PG Goran Dragic. He still needs to add bulk or he will be stuck in a 6th man role potentially.
30. 

Suns

The Suns select PG Nemanja Nedovic from Serbia, but this pick was traded to the Warriors. Nedovic is a raw, but talented combo guard and he is considered as one of the top guards in Europe. He has good height, but must continue to add bulk to defend the bigger point guards in the league while continuing to work on his defense game. He has a good drive game to complement the shooters on this team, but they are unsure if he will play this season or continue to develop overseas which wouldn’t hurt. He must continue work on his passing to play point guard or bulk up to play shooting guard.
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